EngageNY
Estimating Probabilities by Collecting Data
Take a spin to determine experimental probability. Small groups spin a spinner and keep track of the sums of the spins and calculate the resulting probabilities. Pupils use simulated frequencies to practice finding other probabilities to...
Virginia Department of Education
Probability
Classes explore different scenarios using manipulatives to learn about the difference between independent and dependent probability. Learners experiment with colored chips to model the two types of probabilities. To test their...
Virginia Department of Education
Normal Distributions
Pupils work to find probabilities by using areas under the normal curve. Groups work to calculate z-scores and solve real-world problems using the empirical rule or tables.
Mathed Up!
Tree Diagrams
Explore how to visually represent probability problems. Scholars watch a video to refresh their memories on tree diagrams. To finish the activity, they complete a worksheet of questions on this topic.
Illustrative Mathematics
Fred's Fun Factory
Spin to win! Individuals calculate the average number of tickets expected based on a probability distribution for the number of tickets per spin. Pupils use that information to determine the average number of tickets that can be won...
Mathematics Assessment Project
Statistics and Probability
Quickly assess basic understandings of statistics and probability. The resource contains five quick tasks from the probability and statistics domain. The questions range from finding simple conditional probabilities to measures of center...
Mathed Up!
Probability
How likely is it to draw a blue marble? Pupils find the likelihood of events and connect that to the probability of the event. They find the probabilities of simple events and show their probabilities on a scale.
Mathed Up!
Frequency Polygons
Frequency polygons are a different way to represent frequencies over intervals. Pupils take frequencies for intervals of data from a frequency table and plot them as a frequency polygon. Budding mathematicians find information about the...
Mathed Up!
Two Way Tables
When presented with categorical data, a two-way frequency table is a great way to summarize the information. Pupils organize categorical data using a two-way table, then use the tables to determine missing data and to calculate simple...
Statistics Education Web
When 95% Accurate Isn’t
Investigate the effect of false positives on probability calculation with an activity that asks scholars to collect simulated data generated by a calculator. To finish, participants analyze the probability of certain outcomes which lead...
Balanced Assessment
MasterMind
Knowledge of statistics and probability can increase your advantage when playing games. The activity asks learners to analyze the game of MasterMind to determine the number of possible codes. They also examine different variations of the...
Intel
Fair Games
Who said things were fair? The unit introduces probability and its connection to fairness. The class interacts with activities of chance and plays games to relate them to fairness. Groups design a fair game and develop a presentation....
Balanced Assessment
Chance of Rain
Will it rain during the weekend? Pupils become meteorologists for a day as they use the assessment to determine the chance of rain for Saturday and Sunday. Class members interpret the weather statements as they pertain to probabilities...
Balanced Assessment
Chance of Survival
Class members determine the chance of surviving two years by explaining the concept of probability expressed in a medical terms. Would-be doctors continue to explain a conditional probability statement as it relates to the total population.
Balanced Assessment
Dog Tags
Class members demonstrate a proficiency with conditional probabilities through this task. Individuals calculate probabilities using multiplication and addition. They also distinguish between repetition and non-repetition while...
EngageNY
End-of-Module Assessment Task - Precalculus (Module 5)
Give your young scholars a chance to show what they've learned from the module. The last installment of a 21-part series is an end-of-module assessment task. It covers basic and conditional probabilities, expected value, and analyzing...
EngageNY
Analyzing Decisions and Strategies Using Probability 2
Explore how to compare and analyze different strategies. In the 20th installment of a 21-part module, scholars continue their analysis of decisions and strategies from the previous lesson plan. They then extend this concept to hypothesis...
EngageNY
Analyzing Decisions and Strategies Using Probability 1
Learn how to increase the probability of success. The 19th installment of a 21-part module teaches future mathematicians how to use probability to analyze decisions. They determine strategies to maximize the chances of a desired outcome.
EngageNY
Fair Games
What constitutes a fair game? Scholars learn about fair games and analyze some to see if they are fair. They extend this idea to warranties and other contexts.
EngageNY
Making Fair Decisions
Life's not fair, but decisions can be. The 17th installment of a 21-part module teaches learners about fair decisions. They use simulations to develop strategies to make fair decisions.
EngageNY
Mid-Module Assessment Task: Pre-Calculus Module 5
Determine if any reteaching with a mid-module assessment task. The assessment covers the general multiplication rule, permutations and combinations, and probability distributions for discrete random variables.
EngageNY
Estimating Probability Distributions Empirically 2
Develop probability distributions from simulations. Young mathematicians use simulations to collect data. They use the data to draw graphs of probability distributions for the random variable in question.
EngageNY
Estimating Probability Distributions Empirically 1
What if you don't have theoretical probabilities with which to create probability distributions? The 11th installment of a 21-part module has scholars collecting data through a survey. The results of the survey provide empirical data to...
EngageNY
Determining Discrete Probability Distributions 2
Investigate how long-run outcomes approach the calculated probability distribution. The 10th installment of a 21-part module continues work on probability distributions from the previous lesson. They pool class data to see how conducting...