EngageNY
Chance Experiments
Class members are introduced to probability using terms such as impossible, unlikely, likely, and certain. Numbers between zero and one are associated with the descriptions of probability. Pupils find the likelihood of chance experiments...
MENSA Education & Research Foundation
Probably Probability
Reinforce the concept of probability with a series of lessons highlighting the idea of likelihood, probability formulas, relative frequency, outcomes, and event predictions. The collection is made up of four lessons offering informative...
EngageNY
Probability Rules (part 2)
Ensure your pupils are rule followers! Learners add the addition rule to the set of probability rules examined in the previous lesson. Problems require both the multiplication and addition rule.
Curated OER
Figure This! Math Challenges for Families
Young mathematicians complete a family math challenge packet. They will complete a packet of mixed math activities. They work with graphs, comparing numerical data, tessellations, and probability.
EngageNY
Using Permutations and Combinations to Compute Probabilities
Now that we know about permutations and combinations, we can finally solve probability problems. The fourth installment of a 21-part module has future mathematicians analyzing word problems to determine whether permutations or...
Mathematics Assessment Project
Representing Probabilities: Medical Testing
Test probability concepts with an activity that asks pupils to first complete a task investigating false positive in medical testing and then to evaluate sample responses to the same task.
Willow Tree
Simple Probability
The probability of learning from this lesson is high! Learners calculate probabilities as numbers and as decimals. They see how to use a complement to find a probability and even try a simple geometric probability problem.
Math12
Conditional Probability
Conditional probability can be a confusing concept. A straightforward instructional activity provides reasonable examples of conditional probability, and models the most effective ways to reinforce the more complex parts of the...
Illustrative Mathematics
Tossing Cylinders
Everyone loves a lesson that involves throwing things around! To understand probability, your experimenters will predict how different cylinder-shaped objects will land when tossed. When the data is collected, they will calculate the...
American Statistical Association
What is the Probability of “Pigging Out”
Learners apply their understanding of luck to a probability experiment. They play a game of Pass the Pigs to determine the probability of a specific outcome. Using analysis for their data, pupils declare the measures of center, dot...
American Statistical Association
Exploring Geometric Probabilities with Buffon’s Coin Problem
Scholars create and perform experiments attempting to answer Buffon's Coin problem. They discover the relationships between geometry and probability, empirical and theoretical probabilities, and area of a circle and square.
University of Nottingham
Modeling Conditional Probabilities: 2
Bring the concept of conditional probability alive by allowing your classes to explore different probability scenarios. Many tasks have multiple solutions that encourage students to continue exploring their problems even after a solution...
National Council of Teachers of Mathematics
The Game of SKUNK
Do I stand or do I sit? The class plays a dice game where they must decide to either continue to stand and play or sit down and keep their points. After the game, groups discuss individuals' strategies and see connections to the...
Curated OER
The Random Walk
Deep mathematical thinking is found with just a coin and a number line. Combining computing some probabilities in a discrete situation, and the interpretation of a function, this simple task gives learners a lot to think about on their...
EngageNY
Estimating Probability Distributions Empirically 2
Develop probability distributions from simulations. Young mathematicians use simulations to collect data. They use the data to draw graphs of probability distributions for the random variable in question.
American Institutes for Research
Data and Probability: Marshmallow Madness
Upper grade and middle schoolers make predictions, collect data, and interpret the data as it relates to the concept of probability. They work with a partner tossing marshmallows and recording if they land on their side or on their...
Curated OER
Modeling Conditional Probabilities 1: Lucky Dip
Check out this detailed lesson plan on conditional probability! Learners work individually and also collaboratively to analyze the fairness of a game and justify their reasoning. it includes detailed notes and many helpful suggestions...
Curated OER
Probability- Based Bingo Lesson Plan
Statisticians play a game of Bingo to discover the meaning of probability. They are given 12 markers to distribute across the numbers 1-12 on their playing mat. As a pair of dice is rolled, markers are removed from the playing mat. The...
Illustrative Mathematics
Return to Fred's Fun Factory (with 50 Cents)
The penny arcade gets the statistics treatment in this fun probability investigation. A non-standard game of chance is described and then the class is set loose to find missing probabilities, determine common outcomes, and evaluate...
Curated OER
Calculating and Applying Basic Probability
Eighth graders investigate the basic concepts of probability. In this probability lesson, 8th graders learn the associated probability. They work with spinners, colored cubes in a bag, flip coins, and choose colored candies while they...
Curated OER
Experimental Probability
While just a simple instructional activity, this activity on experimental probability could provide a way to connect this concept to real life. Learners begin by participating in a probability activity using a coin, and then move on to...
Mathalicious
Three Shots
To foul or not to foul, that is the basketball question. High schoolers look at the probability that fouling out a player and allowing free throws yields a better outcome than allowing the original shot. The resource provides a teacher's...
Curated OER
Probability
Students discuss probability and how it is a part of their daily lives. They work with a partner and perform various probability experiments and complete a project in which they discover different properties of probability.
Shodor Education Foundation
Playing with Probability
Review basic probability concepts with your class using different-colored marbles in a bag. Then pair up learners and have them play a cool online interactive game in which they race miniature cars using the roll of a die or two. The...
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