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Lesson Plan
EngageNY

Probability Rules (part 1)

For Students 10th - 12th Standards
In statistics, probability rules—literally! Learners use their previous knowledge and explore a set of rules for conditional probability, independent probability, and complements. Given different scenarios, they must determine what type...
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Lesson Plan
EngageNY

The Difference Between Theoretical Probabilities and Estimated Probabilities

For Teachers 7th Standards
Flip a coin to determine whether the probability of heads is one-half. Pupils use simulated data to find the experimental probability of flipping a coin. Participants compare the long run relative frequency with the known theoretical...
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Lesson Plan
EngageNY

Determining Discrete Probability Distributions 2

For Teachers 11th - 12th Standards
Investigate how long-run outcomes approach the calculated probability distribution. The 10th installment of a 21-part module continues work on probability distributions from the previous lesson. They pool class data to see how conducting...
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Lesson Plan
EngageNY

Applying Probability to Make Informed Decisions

For Teachers 7th Standards
Use simulations to determine the probabilities of events to make decisions. Class members are presented with several scenarios, some with known probabilities and others without. Groups run simulations to gather data that they then use to...
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Lesson Plan
EngageNY

Analyzing Decisions and Strategies Using Probability 1

For Teachers 11th - 12th Standards
Learn how to increase the probability of success. The 19th installment of a 21-part module teaches future mathematicians how to use probability to analyze decisions. They determine strategies to maximize the chances of a desired outcome.
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Lesson Plan
Illustrative Mathematics

Tossing Cylinders

For Teachers 6th - 8th Standards
Everyone loves a instructional activity that involves throwing things around! To understand probability, your experimenters will predict how different cylinder-shaped objects will land when tossed. When the data is collected, they will...
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Lesson Plan
EngageNY

Calculating Conditional Probabilities and Evaluating Independence Using Two-Way Tables (part 2)

For Students 10th - 12th Standards
Without data, all you are is another person with an opinion. Show learners the power of statistics and probability in making conclusions and predictions. Using two-way frequency tables, learners determine independence by analyzing...
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Lesson Plan
EngageNY

Probability Distribution of a Discrete Random Variable

For Teachers 11th - 12th Standards
Learn how to analyze probability distributions. The sixth installment of a 21-part module teaches pupils to use probability distributions to determine the long-run behavior of a discrete random variable. They create graphs of probability...
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Lesson Plan
EngageNY

Estimating Probability Distributions Empirically 1

For Teachers 11th - 12th Standards
What if you don't have theoretical probabilities with which to create probability distributions? The 11th installment of a 21-part module has scholars collecting data through a survey. The results of the survey provide empirical data to...
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Lesson Plan
American Statistical Association

What is the Probability of “Pigging Out”

For Teachers 6th - 8th Standards
Learners apply their understanding of luck to a probability experiment. They play a game of Pass the Pigs to determine the probability of a specific outcome. Using analysis for their data, pupils declare the measures of center, dot...
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Lesson Plan
American Statistical Association

Exploring Geometric Probabilities with Buffon’s Coin Problem

For Teachers 6th - 8th Standards
Scholars create and perform experiments attempting to answer Buffon's Coin problem. They discover the relationships between geometry and probability, empirical and theoretical probabilities, and area of a circle and square.
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Lesson Plan
MENSA Education & Research Foundation

Probably Probability

For Students 6th - 8th Standards
Reinforce the concept of probability with a series of lessons highlighting the idea of likelihood, probability formulas, relative frequency, outcomes, and event predictions. The collection is made up of four lessons offering informative...
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Lesson Plan
Mathematics Assessment Project

Representing Probabilities: Medical Testing

For Teachers 9th - 12th Standards
Test probability concepts with an activity that asks pupils to first complete a task investigating false positive in medical testing and then to evaluate sample responses to the same task.
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Lesson Plan
University of Nottingham

Modeling Conditional Probabilities: 2

For Teachers 10th - 12th Standards
Bring the concept of conditional probability alive by allowing your classes to explore different probability scenarios. Many tasks have multiple solutions that encourage students to continue exploring their problems even after a solution...
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Lesson Plan
EngageNY

Probability Rules (part 2)

For Students 10th - 12th Standards
Ensure your pupils are rule followers! Learners add the addition rule to the set of probability rules examined in the previous lesson. Problems require both the multiplication and addition rule.
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Lesson Plan
EngageNY

Conducting a Simulation to Estimate the Probability of an Event II

For Teachers 7th Standards
Add some randomization into simulations. The 11th installment in a series of 25 presents two new methods to use in simulations--colored disks, and random numbers. Pupils use random numbers to run simulations where the probabilities make...
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Lesson Plan
EngageNY

Using Permutations and Combinations to Compute Probabilities

For Teachers 11th - 12th Standards
Now that we know about permutations and combinations, we can finally solve probability problems. The fourth installment of a 21-part module has future mathematicians analyzing word problems to determine whether permutations or...
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Lesson Plan
National Council of Teachers of Mathematics

The Game of SKUNK

For Teachers 6th - 8th Standards
Do I stand or do I sit? The class plays a dice game where they must decide to either continue to stand and play or sit down and keep their points. After the game, groups discuss individuals' strategies and see connections to the...
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Lesson Plan
Curated OER

The Random Walk

For Teachers 9th - 12th Standards
Deep mathematical thinking is found with just a coin and a number line. Combining computing some probabilities in a discrete situation, and the interpretation of a function, this simple task gives learners a lot to think about on their...
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Lesson Plan
Curated OER

Concept: Dice Probabilities

For Teachers Pre-K - 6th
In this probability worksheet, students roll dice to determine the experimental probability of rolling each number on a die. The experiment is repeated using a dice rolling application on their computer. Students find the theoretical...
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Lesson Plan
Curated OER

How Probable is It?

For Teachers 4th - 5th
Students explore probability. In this probability lesson plan, students look at videos and websites where they discover probability facts that can be used in situations. They determine the probability of different events. 
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Lesson Plan
Curated OER

Probability Using M&M's

For Teachers 3rd - 4th
Students estimate and then count the number of each color of M&M's in their bag. In this mathematics lesson, students find the experimental probability of selecting each color from the bag. Students create pictographs and bar graphs...
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Lesson Plan
Curated OER

High or Low- Probability

For Teachers 4th - 6th
Students use playing cards to examine probability. In this probability lesson plan, students work in groups with a deck of cards and predict if the next card they lay down will be high or low. Students fill out a graphic organizer with...
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Lesson Plan
Curated OER

Probability

For Teachers 2nd
Second graders experiment with probability. In this probability lesson, 2nd graders pick colored beans from a bag to find the chance of getting different colors. They make fair and unfair spinners and record the data after spinning them. 

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