Curated OER
Modeling Conditional Probabilities 1: Lucky Dip
Check out this detailed lesson plan on conditional probability! Learners work individually and also collaboratively to analyze the fairness of a game and justify their reasoning. it includes detailed notes and many helpful...
Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia
Development of Disease and Infection
It's all in the cards. Using cards to simulate a disease's attack on the immune system, pupils develop an understanding of how the immune system and pathogens react to each other and why at times the pathogen wins. Groups play a game to...
Rice University
Introductory Statistics
Statistically speaking, the content covers several grades. Featuring all of the statistics typically covered in a college-level Statistics course, the expansive content spans from sixth grade on up to high school. Material...
College Board
2003 AP® Statistics Free-Response Questions Form B
Update the statistics in your course using older AP® questions. The 2003 AP® Statistics free-response questions cover several of the concepts in the current statistics standards for all pupils. Items contain questions about...
College Board
2010 AP® Statistics Free-Response Questions Form B
Form a good familiarity with the AP® test using Form B of the 2010 AP® Statistics free-response questions. Pupils use a test from a previous administration to prepare for their exams. A set of six questions assesses box plots,...
College Board
2011 AP® Statistics Free-Response Questions
Familiarize yourself with the AP® exam by looking at past tests. A PDF file provides the 2011 AP® Statistics free-response questions. The questions include topics such as mean, standard deviation, conditional probability, sampling...
Mathematics Vision Project
Module 8: Probability
It's probably a good idea to use the unit. Young mathematicians learn about conditional probability using Venn diagrams, tree diagrams, and two-way tables. They also take into consideration independence and the addition rules.
Virginia Department of Education
Organizing Topic: Probability
The probability is high learning will occur! A well-designed unit introduces learners to the concepts of independent, dependent, and mutually exclusive events. Using Venn diagrams, the lessons ask learners to analyze many different...
Shodor Education Foundation
Two Colors Applet
Find the box with two green balls. The applet uses six balls, three green and three red, and hides them in three boxes. Pupils choose a box and click on it to reveal the color of balls inside. Using the chosen box, the simulation keeps...
Shodor Education Foundation
Marbles
Grab some marbles from a bag. The applet simulates drawing marbles from a bag. Pupils determine the number of four colors of marbles in a bag and how many marbles to draw. Using information on whether order matters in the draw and if...
Shodor Education Foundation
Dice Table
Convert a table to probabilities. Pupils set up the winning rules for the sums of two dice. Using the rules, the applet fills out a table showing the winners for each combination. Learners determine the probabilities of winning for each...
Shodor Education Foundation
Buffon's Needle
Find the needle on a lined paper. Pupils run a simulation of dropping a needle on a lined paper. The probability of the needle crossing at least one line is pi/2. After each trial, the interactive displays the approximation of pi based...
Shodor Education Foundation
Coin Toss
Are your young mathematicians having a hard time making heads or tails of probabilities? It's no toss up—here is a resource that's sure to straighten them out! Learners run the interactive to toss a coin a different number of times....
Shodor Education Foundation
Simple Monty Hall
What's behind door number one? A fun resource lets learners simulate the classic Monty Hall probability problem. Pupils choose a door, and after they select a losing door, they decide whether to switch or stay. Using their decisions, the...
CK-12 Foundation
Conditional Probability: Colorful Cubes
An interactive provides a model to visually represent the formula for the probability of an outcome. Given 10 numbered color cubes, pupils arrange them on the top and bottom shelf to represent the probability fraction. The learners...
CK-12 Foundation
Dependent Events: Cheryl's Birthday
Use dependency to find a birthday. Learners use an interactive to keep track of excluded potential dates of a birthday using information provided to two people about a third's birthday. Scholars then use the dependency between the dates...
CK-12 Foundation
Conditional Probability: Game Show with Monty
The car is behind door one — no wait, it is behind door three. An interactive allows learners to visualize the Monty Hall problem. Pupils work through the probabilities of choosing the car with their first pick. Next, they determine...
CK-12 Foundation
Conditional Probability: Candy Store
An interactive uses a candy store to involve the pupils in conditional probabilities. Learners determine probabilities as customers purchase different types of candies and the stock decreases.
CK-12 Foundation
Counting Events: Flipping Unfair Coins
Who said life was fair? An interactive uses an area diagram to represent the probabilities of flipping unfair coins. Pupils use the diagram to calculate the probabilities of outcomes of flipping the two coins. The scholars must decide...
PBL Pathways
Tax Examination
What are your chances of being audited by the IRS? An engaging problem scenario asks pupils to examine the likelihood of being audited compared to factors such as receiving a refund or claiming a home office. The final product of...
Balanced Assessment
Chance of Rain
Will it rain during the weekend? Pupils become meteorologists for a day as they use the assessment to determine the chance of rain for Saturday and Sunday. Class members interpret the weather statements as they pertain to probabilities...
Balanced Assessment
Chance of Survival
Class members determine the chance of surviving two years by explaining the concept of probability expressed in a medical terms. Would-be doctors continue to explain a conditional probability statement as it relates to the...
Mathematics Assessment Project
Representing Probabilities: Medical Testing
Test probability concepts with an activity that asks pupils to first complete a task investigating false positive in medical testing and then to evaluate sample responses to the same task.
American Statistical Association
A Sweet Task
Candy is always an effective motivator! A fun math activity uses M&M's and Skittles to explore two-way frequency tables and conditional probability. The candy can serve a dual purpose as manipulatives and experimental data.