American Institutes for Research
Data and Probability: Marshmallow Madness
Upper grade and middle schoolers make predictions, collect data, and interpret the data as it relates to the concept of probability. They work with a partner tossing marshmallows and recording if they land on their side or on their...
EngageNY
Normal Distributions (part 2)
From z-scores to probability. Learners put together the concepts from the previous lessons to determine the probability of a given range of outcomes. They make predictions and interpret them in the context of the problem.
Flipped Math
More Probability
Multiply the amount of probability using addition. Pupils use probabilities to make predictions in problems. They find shortcuts to find probabilities instead of listing the entire sample space. The learners then use the multiplication...
National Security Agency
Are You Game? A Lesson Connecting Fractions and Probability
Exactly how fair are the board games children grow up playing? Young mathematicians investigate this questions as they work their way through this five-lesson series on basic probability.
Utah Education Network (UEN)
Probability and Statistics
MAD about statistics? In the seventh chapter of an eight-part seventh-grade workbook series, learners develop probability models and use statistics to draw inferences. In addition, learners play games and conduct experiments to determine...
EngageNY
Calculating Probabilities of Events Using Two-Way Tables
Tables are useful for more than just eating. Learners use tables to organize data and calculate probabilities and conditional probabilities.
Curated OER
Probability with Number Cubes
Second graders make sampling predictions, predict outcomes and explore probability through experimentation.
Curated OER
Range, Cluster, Gap and Outliers
There are a number of activities here where learners collect and record data, as well as, activities where the likelihood of an event happening is calculated given the experimental probability. Young statisticians organize information...
Curated OER
Cause-Effect Facts and Predictions
In this cause and effect learning exercise, students choose the correct words to complete the sentences about facts and predictions of cause and effect relationships. Students complete 21 sentences.
Curated OER
Explorations for the Area Probability Applet
Math whizzes use the area probability applet to manipulate the size of the circle and the rectangle to explore the probability that a point in the rectangle is also in the circle.
Curated OER
Data and Probability: What is the Best Snack?
In this math/nutrition lesson, the nutritional value of 3 snack foods is recorded on a data chart and represented on a bar graph. Students analyze and compare information, construct data charts and related bar graphs, and draw...
Film English
Inseparable
Built around a moving short film about second chances and tough choices, this lesson mixes grammar, prediction, and narrative writing. Pupils practice with adjectives and prefixes before moving on to the film. The resource directs you to...
Curated OER
Data Analysis and Probability: Graphing Candy with Excel
Collect and graph data using Microsoft Excel with your math class. They will make predictions about the number of each colored candy in a bag of M&M's, then sort, classify, count, and record the actual data before using Excel to...
Curated OER
Probability and Applications of Simulations
Middle schoolers apply properties of probability to the real world. In this probability lesson plan, learners simulate the construction of empirical distribution. They collect and analyze data using central tendencies.
Curated OER
Fire!, Probability, and Chaos
Upper elementary and middle schoolers work with the concept of probability. They are introduced to the concept of chaos. Learners graph and analyze using a line plot, work with mean, and are introduced to the concept of variance.
Curated OER
Probability and Statistics
Elementary schoolers choose from a host of activities to investigate probability and statistics. They complete worksheets, create 3-D graphs, and play graph bingo. They make weather predictions and list all the possibilities before going...
Curated OER
Predicting the Future
Students examine how scientists predict the effects of global climate change. In this environmental science lesson plan, students participate in a discussion about using computer generated data to create climate predictions. Students...
Noyce Foundation
Fair Game?
The game should be fair at all costs. The mini-assessment revolves around the ability to use probabilities to determine whether a game is fair. Individuals determine compound events to calculate simple probabilities and make long-run...
American Statistical Association
Exploring Geometric Probabilities with Buffon’s Coin Problem
Scholars create and perform experiments attempting to answer Buffon's Coin problem. They discover the relationships between geometry and probability, empirical and theoretical probabilities, and area of a circle and square.
Curated OER
Chances Are: Talking Probability
Students explore probability and the process of data analysis and predictions. They participate in two activities, one involving a calculator and one the Internet, in which they make predictions and conduct activities to test their...
Illustrative Mathematics
Tossing Cylinders
Everyone loves a lesson that involves throwing things around! To understand probability, your experimenters will predict how different cylinder-shaped objects will land when tossed. When the data is collected, they will calculate the...
American Statistical Association
What is the Probability of “Pigging Out”
Learners apply their understanding of luck to a probability experiment. They play a game of Pass the Pigs to determine the probability of a specific outcome. Using analysis for their data, pupils declare the measures of center, dot...
US Department of Agriculture
Sink or Float?
Will it sink or will it float? Learners predict the outcome as they drop random objects into a container of water. Then, they keep track of the results and record the data in a t-chart to draw a final conclusion.
Math Worksheets Land
Probability of Chance Events - Guided Lesson
Show learners that their choices can change based on probability. The lesson discusses the idea of theoretical and experimental probability when choosing items or flipping a coin. Use the page with the additional resources provided for a...