National Council of Teachers of Mathematics
The Game of SKUNK
Do I stand or do I sit? The class plays a dice game where they must decide to either continue to stand and play or sit down and keep their points. After the game, groups discuss individuals' strategies and see connections to the...
EngageNY
Calculating Probabilities of Compound Events
Use tree diagrams with multiple branches to calculate the probabilities of compound events. Pupils use tree diagrams to find the sample space for probability problems and use them to determine the probability of compound events in the...
West Contra Costa Unified School District
Introduction to Conditional Probability
Here is a turnkey lesson plan that walks young statisticians through the development and uses of conditional probability. From dice games to surveys, Venn diagrams to frequency tables, the class learns how a given can effect the overall...
Statistics Education Web
Odd or Even? The Addition and Complement Principles of Probability
Odd or even—fifty-fifty chance? Pupils first conduct an experiment rolling a pair of dice to generate data in a probability instructional activity. It goes on to introduce mutually exclusive and non-mutually exclusive events, and how to...
EngageNY
Estimating Probabilities by Collecting Data
Take a spin to determine experimental probability. Small groups spin a spinner and keep track of the sums of the spins and calculate the resulting probabilities. Pupils use simulated frequencies to practice finding other probabilities to...
Curated OER
Probability Math Game
Ninth graders investigate probability through games. In this probability instructional activity, 9th graders discuss sample space and distribution. They collect and analyze data using graphing.
Curated OER
Even/Odds Game
Using a game format, learners review what they know about theoretical probability. As they roll tetrahedron dice, they record their results as odd or even. Afterwards, they discuss their findings.
Illustrative Mathematics
Return to Fred's Fun Factory (with 50 Cents)
The penny arcade gets the statistics treatment in this fun probability investigation. A non-standard game of chance is described and then the class is set loose to find missing probabilities, determine common outcomes, and evaluate...
EngageNY
The Difference Between Theoretical Probabilities and Estimated Probabilities
Flip a coin to determine whether the probability of heads is one-half. Pupils use simulated data to find the experimental probability of flipping a coin. Participants compare the long run relative frequency with the known theoretical...
Curated OER
Probability
Here is a very clever way of teaching young mathematicians the concept of probability. A spinner is made that has two outcomes, yes and no. A chart is made that has two columns that are labeled Correct and Incorrect. The teacher asks a...
Curated OER
Introduction to the Concept of Probability
Middle and high schoolers have a clarified definition of probability, they explore about outcomes in probability and how to calculate experimental probability. They use computers to learn about probability.
EngageNY
Games of Chance and Expected Value 1
There's a strong chance that class members enjoy learning math through engaging games. Scholars analyze games of chance to determine long-term behavior. They learn to calculate expected value to help with this assessment.
EngageNY
Fair Games
What constitutes a fair game? Scholars learn about fair games and analyze some to see if they are fair. They extend this idea to warranties and other contexts.
Statistics Education Web
The Egg Roulette Game
Hard boiled or raw? Which egg will you get? A hands-on activity has scholars explore the impact of conditional probability. Based on a skit from the Tonight Show, pupils model the selection of the two types of eggs using beads. They...
EngageNY
Analyzing Decisions and Strategies Using Probability 1
Learn how to increase the probability of success. The 19th installment of a 21-part module teaches future mathematicians how to use probability to analyze decisions. They determine strategies to maximize the chances of a desired outcome.
Curated OER
Conditional Probability and Probability of Simultaneous Events
Your statisticians examine the characteristics of conditional probability and the probability of simultaneous independent events. They perform computer activities to find probabilities for simple compound events. They examine the...
EngageNY
Chance Experiments
Class members are introduced to probability using terms such as impossible, unlikely, likely, and certain. Numbers between zero and one are associated with the descriptions of probability. Pupils find the likelihood of chance experiments...
American Statistical Association
What is the Probability of “Pigging Out”
Learners apply their understanding of luck to a probability experiment. They play a game of Pass the Pigs to determine the probability of a specific outcome. Using analysis for their data, pupils declare the measures of center, dot...
EngageNY
Games of Chance and Expected Value 2
Use expected values to analyze games of chance. The 15th installment of a 21-part module has young mathematicians looking at different games involving tickets and deciding which would be the best to play. They calculate expected payoffs...
Curated OER
Modeling Conditional Probabilities 1: Lucky Dip
Check out this detailed lesson plan on conditional probability! Learners work individually and also collaboratively to analyze the fairness of a game and justify their reasoning. it includes detailed notes and many helpful suggestions...
Mathalicious
Three Shots
To foul or not to foul, that is the basketball question. High schoolers look at the probability that fouling out a player and allowing free throws yields a better outcome than allowing the original shot. The resource provides a teacher's...
Shodor Education Foundation
Playing with Probability
Review basic probability concepts with your class using different-colored marbles in a bag. Then pair up learners and have them play a cool online interactive game in which they race miniature cars using the roll of a die or two. The...
Curated OER
Probability
Sixth graders explore theoretical and experimental probability. In this probability lesson, 6th graders participate in several hands-on activities involving the comparison of theoretical probability to the actual results. Games include...
Curated OER
Probability of Childhood Games
Students explore the concept of probability. In this probability activity, students find the probability of certain situations including spinning a spinner, drawing marbles from a bag, and rolling a dice.