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This Introduction to Conditional Probability lesson plan also includes:
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Here is a turnkey lesson that walks young statisticians through the development and uses of conditional probability. From dice games to surveys, Venn diagrams to frequency tables, the class learns how a given can effect the overall probability of a situation. Teaching notes include scripting, example solutions, and identification of key sticking points, while student examples and note sheets fulfill many support requirements for diverse learners. A great introductory conditional probability lesson for adding to your geometry or statistics curriculum.
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Instructional Ideas
- Have learners construct similar diagrams to the "Rolling Two Dice" visual for posting in the classroom
- Bring in a local statistician, sociologist, or PhD researcher to discuss the uses of conditional probability in their field
- Have the class determine the probability of rolling certain combinations in a dice game, like Yahtzee!, or getting card combinations in a game like Blackjack
- Consider having the class conduct a survey similar to example 3 regarding mood and breakfast and reporting their conditional results in a 2-way frequency table with analysis
- Could leave as a lesson plan for a highly qualified substitute
Classroom Considerations
- Might need to take into account district considerations for teaching with respect to games of chance
- Lesson assumes the class is comfortable using Venn diagrams and frequency tables
Pros
- Detailed examples and student problems
- Extensive teaching notes
- Worked problem solutions for all examples and problems
- Chart of dice probabilities provided
Cons
- Misspelled word "die" on page 10
- No corresponding homework problems provided